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The Exit Cafe is dedicated to helping investors and professionals of all experience levels be more aware of changes to their risk exposure and the importance of using an intelligent exit strategy to control and act upon risk.

The editorial manager and a frequent contributor to our blog is Chuck LeBeau, an industry leader in the application of technical analysis for risk management. We hope you find our blog enjoyable, educational and valuable. Please feel free to chime in on any stories or analysis posted.

Jul 5, 2008

Is Wall Street Full of Bull?

Is Wall Street ‘Full of Bull’?
A well-respected analyst for 32 years, Stephen McClellan describes how analysts’ advice is biased and misleading for individual investors
Book review by Ben Steverman

SmartStops comment: This article is a Business Week magazine review of Stephen McClellans brilliant new book Full of Bull. Be sure to read this informative and well written review which will help you understand why being a self-directed investor can be a big advantage. You will also appreciate how SmartStops helps you to time your selling and protect your capital while the highly paid Wall Street analysts can’t seem to help you at all. Your comments about the article and the book are welcome. Post them here on our Blog.

Excerpts: “ In his new book, Full of Bull: Do What Wall Street Does, Not What It Says, to Make Money in the Market (FT Press, 2007, $22.99), McClellan, admits that price targets are "fiction," and buy/sell/hold ratings aren't taken seriously by professional investors. Analysts spend perhaps only 20% of their time on research and the rest on marketing and other tasks, he says. They create sophisticated computer programs to track a company's earnings, revenue, and cash flow in close detail. But the results are "not accurate at all," he says. In fact, analysts often miss big trends and have a terrible record as stock pickers.
Research isn't written for retail investors, but for institutions. Those institutions, including mutual funds and hedge funds, have far too much influence over an analyst's research, McClellan says. Companies and executives are also too good at manipulating analysts.
Even more blatant biases were exposed as part of the 2002-03 investigation by the New York State Attorney General and securities regulators, which led to the Global Settlement of Conflicts of Interest Between Research & Investment Banking that required 10 of the nation's top investment banks to pay $1.4 billion in penalties and restitution to harmed investors, including money for investor education and independent research.”

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